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In this episode of The Thinking Muslim, renowned Middle East analyst Mouin Rabbani joins us for a deep and unfiltered conversation on the escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the shifting global order.

The discussion opens by examining whether the recent ceasefire represents a genuine strategic win for Trump - or something far more fragile. It then turns to the intensifying bombing campaign in Lebanon, exposing the stark imbalance on the ground and what it reveals about the trajectory of the conflict.

Can the region return to the pre-February status quo, or has a permanent shift already taken place?

The conversation expands to the role of the Gulf States, evolving security arrangements, and who is ultimately emerging as the real loser in this confrontation. With global stakes rising, Rabbani also unpacks China’s strategic calculations - particularly its interest in the Strait of Hormuz - and whether US actions are inadvertently accelerating Beijing’s influence.

The episode also explores the ideological forces shaping Western policy, including the intersection of extreme Christianity, imperialism, and Zionism.

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Disclaimer:

The views expressed in this video are those of the individual speaker(s) and do not represent the views of the host, producers, platform, or any affiliated organisation. This content is provided for lawful, informational, and analytical purposes only, and should not be taken as professional advice. Viewer discretion is advised.

Timestamps:

00:00 – Introduction

00:35 – Was the ceasefire a victory for Trump?

07:00 – Escalation of the bombing campaign in Lebanon: assessing the imbalance between sides

16:50 – Is a return to the pre-February status quo possible?

24:00 – The Gulf States, security agreements, and identifying the net losers of the conflict

30:00 – China’s strategic perspective: understanding the Strait of Hormuz

37:30 – The intersection of extreme Christianity, imperialism, and Zionism

41:44 – What might the emerging new world order look like?

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