Transcript
Victor Davis Hanson (0:01)
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Sammy Wink (0:31)
Hello and welcome to the Victor Davis Hanson Show. This is the Friday News Roundup and we've got lots of news this week, so stay with us and we'll be right back after these messages.
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Victor Davis Hanson (1:09)
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Sammy Wink (1:28)
Welcome back to the Victor Davis Hanson Show. Victor's the Martin and Neanderson Senior Fellow in Military History and Classics at the Hoover Institution and the Wayne and Marcia Buskey Distinguished Fellow in History at Hillsdale College. You can find him at his website, victorhanson.com Please come join us. There it is, $5 a month or $50 a year still, but we're planning on raising the price, so get in while you still can. Before the so Victor, there's lots of international news this week and Iran is in the news again and I know that you wanted to talk a little bit broadly about it, but they have been recruiting children to carry out attacks against Israelis and Jews in Nordic countries. So that was the news this week, but Iran seems to be coming more vulnerable given that Trump is in as president. So I was wondering your thoughts before I do.
Victor Davis Hanson (2:23)
We're trying to do a video. We haven't been doing these and it's a new experience. And we're in the Reese Davis horse barn where we had animals right to my backside when I was a kid and I fashioned into a garage 25 years ago and didn't do a great job. It's been redone and it's a nice studio and Sammy is here visiting in person Iran. Well, I mean, what can you say? We start off with the idea that the Biden administration, it had this view of the Middle East. We've talked about it before. There was Tehran, there was Beirut, there was Damascus, there was Gaza City and there was Yemen. And they formed a bloc that was in opposition to our traditional allies, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan, Egypt, the so called moderate dictatorships. And then we had Israel. And Obama came in with deep seated anger at Israel and at these moderate regimes. Why? Because he felt that they weren't fully revolutionary enough and they didn't represent his social activism, his community organizing on a global scale. So he empowered them. How did he empower them? He immediately said he wanted daylight, I'm quoting him directly, he wanted daylight between himself, I.e. the United States and the Jewish state. And so he entered into this Iran deal. Ben Rhodes said that the reporters know nothing, they don't know a thing. And it was easy to create an echo chamber of disinformation. So they sold it to the Senate without, I think that was a number of anti Trump senators said we don't need to be a treaty anymore. It's not a treaty, we don't need two thirds. And I think maybe had been adjudicated down to 60 votes in a Senate, they would have never got that. They passed the Iran deal. It was a way of saying that Iran can have the bomb in 10 years. We released $400 million at night. So my point is this, that they empowered Iran and they lifted the sanctions that Trump. Now we're into the Biden administration that Trump implemented. And as soon as The Iranians got $100 billion, they started increasing the missiles, the funding, the terrorism from Hezbollah, the Houthis and Hamas. And the ultimate trajectory of it was, as we know, October 7th. So then Trump as a shadow government, he kept saying, when I get in, when I get in, when I get in. So there was a sense what I'm getting at. Jake Sullivan and Anthony Blinken and Joe Biden knew that if they lost the election, this experiment with empowering Iran and its surrogates would end. And Jake Sullivan said presently in the opposite fashion, he had the unmitas touch. He said, if I look at my Middle east portfolio, it's the quietest we've seen in a long time. I don't worry about it. Meaning this theory had worked and it led to October 7th and then he went mute. So here we are and Iran was empowered and then we didn't do Anything to stop it. After October 7th, Israel retaliated. The Biden administration did two things. Remember that it said we are the strong friend of Israel and we support anything it does to preserve the security of the Jewish nation. And then it said we don't like Netanyahu and we don't like Netanyahu and we don't like Netanyahu. And you're not going to have bunker busters. We're going to put an embargo in. 3,000, 2,000 pound bombs. You can't go to Rafah. You cannot go in there. You will be, can't go into Hezbollah. Do not hit Iran. Be proportional. They'll send 500 projectiles, you send 10 or 20. That's that constant harangue. Netanyahu, who was demonized all over the world. He's a so called war criminal. He can't even go into Canada or Poland or other European countries because of this bogus International Criminal Court. So what did he do? He ignored them. And the result is now there is no Hezbollah hierarchy. They've been taken out by walkie talkies, exploding pagers, missile strikes, targeted attacks on their leadership. There is no Hamas. It's been destroyed, basically. Not that it won't come back, but for five or 10 years it's been destroyed. What is the situation in Iran? It has no air defenses. Israel sent 300 jets. I can't think of the United States sending 300 planes in one wave or two waves. But they did. And the result was Israel is in a position that any time it wants, it can take out whatever it wants in Iran. And the role of this new administration coming in will be we would not like to conduct an optional military engagement against Iran. That's sort of the Maga creed. We don't look for dragons to slay overseas. But if you want to go in there and you need munitions, you need intelligence, you need satellite imagery, and most importantly, you need to be protected from retaliation from nuclear China or Russia. You got it from us. And so I think Iran now is terrified. All of its surrogates, all of them are inert. Even Assad, people said you couldn't get rid of this government. He was building a nuclear reactor during the Iran Iraq war. You couldn't. He was just empowered. He hosted Hezbollah. The Russians were there protecting Assad. He's gone. And Syria's going to end up like Libya. It's going to be a tribal wasteland. And so Israel is in the most, I don't know, ascendant position that I can think of. Since the 67 Day War, and we'll see what happens. But they have an administration coming in under Donald Trump that's very, very sympathetic. And I would say that the next Tesrah in this mosaic or the next shoe to fall, to use another metaphor, is how long is this Iranian regime going to last when this week they instituted massive brownouts and could not supply natural gas for heating, electricity for lights, or fuel for transportation? And they're, I think, the seventh largest oil reserves in the world.
