The King of the Grand Tour Sprints? | Vuelta a España Stage 1 Analysis & Stage 2 Preview | THEMOVE+

Summary

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THEMOVE+ Podcast Episode Summary

Episode: The King of the Grand Tour Sprints? | Vuelta a España Stage 1 Analysis & Stage 2 Preview
Date: August 23, 2025
Host: Spencer Martin (with Johan Bruyneel)
Main Focus: Stage 1 Analysis of the 2025 Vuelta a España, Stage 2 Preview, Context on Grand Tour Sprinting and Team Dynamics

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Episode Overview

This THEMOVE+ episode delves into the opening stage of the 2025 Vuelta a España, focusing on Jasper Philipsen’s dominant sprint win and the general atmosphere of the race compared to the Tour de France. Spencer Martin and Johan Bruyneel discuss key takeaways, team strategies, and the relaxed nature unique to the Vuelta. The latter half features a preview and predictions for Stage 2, an uphill finish in Italy, with commentary on likely contenders and tactical expectations.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. The Unique Mood of the Vuelta vs. Tour de France

• The presenters open by contrasting the less stressful, more relaxed vibe of the Vuelta a España with the high-stakes tension of the Tour de France.
  • "It was visibly easier than stage one of the Tour, which was also a sprint stage." (Spencer Martin, 00:29)
  • "There's not even 20% at stake compared to the Tour de France... Spectators are not the same. So it is... low key stress-wise." (Johan Bruyneel, 00:48)

Notable Quote:

"In the Tour, okay, this is where it needs to happen. Everybody's at the tip of their toes. This is never the case in Tour of Spain. The Tour of Spain is relaxed."
— Johan Bruyneel (00:48)

2. Stage 1 Recap: Jasper Philipsen’s Sprint Dominance

• Stage 1 started in Italy—an oddity—as the Vuelta’s first stage was a straightforward sprinters’ battle.
• Jasper Philipsen claimed a "freakishly easy" win, thanks to an impeccable Alpecin-Deceuninck lead-out.
• Spencer marvels at how Trek was present all day but absent when it mattered, reflecting on team mistakes and positioning.

Notable Segment:

• Stage details and top three:
  • "Jasper Philipsen wins. Ethan Vernon second. Orluis Aular third." (Spencer Martin, 01:13)
• Mention of the breakaway: Pablo De la Cruz (U23 Spanish champ) stays away the longest, representing smaller teams’ usual roles (02:51).

Insights:

• Stage was always likely to be a sprint; sprinter teams controlled the day.
• Discussion on Philipsen’s form and comeback from his Tour de France crash.
  • "He crashed out heavily in the Tour de France... He said, okay, I need to do Spain because I need motivation." (Johan Bruyneel, 06:45)

3. Sprinters, Lead-Out Trains, and Team Tactics

• Commentary on Alpecin-Deceuninck’s physical advantage: their lead-out riders are massive, allowing Philipsen to tuck in and save energy.
• "They can make space because they're so much bigger than everybody else." (Spencer Martin, 08:34)

Fun Fact:

• Philipsen becomes the first since Fabian Cancellara (2009) to win both the Tour and Vuelta opening stages in the same year.
• Career Grand Tour wins: Philipsen now has 14, trailing only Roglič and Pogačar among current riders.

4. UCI Points Battle & WorldTour Implications

• Discussion on why teams like Cofidis play for minor placings and UCI points instead of breakaways.
• "Brian Coquard gets seventh and he gets double the amount of UCI points that Uno-X does today." (Spencer Martin, 09:14)

Notable Quote:

"It's a mad dash for the, you know, the last half of the top 10. Just really shows you how important those spots are at these races."
— Spencer Martin (09:14)

5. General Classification (GC) Situation Post-Stage 1

• No major GC upsets; leaders (Vingegaard, Almeida, company) all avoided trouble, as expected.
• Jay Vine is confirmed to be hunting stages, not the GC.

6. Points Classification Outlook

• Big setback for Mads Pedersen (14th, no points) as Philipsen surges ahead.
  • "Phillipsen gets 50 for first... that's going to be hard for Pedersen to dig himself out of." (Spencer Martin, 11:48)
• Discussion on whether Philipsen’s "motivation" will carry him to Madrid for the green jersey.

7. Stage 2 Preview: First Climb, Early GC Skirmish?

[Starting at 15:42]

• A 10 km, 5.5% summit finish in the Alps. The stage profile favors punchy climbers and could invite early GC moves.
• Flat-then-uphill layout with only one classified climb – the finish.
  • "It's not overly steep... but it is a simple stage, net uphill pretty much the whole way." (Spencer Martin, 15:42)

Predictions:

• Johan’s pick: Giulio Ciccone, citing strong recent form and stage suitability.
  • "It's tailored for him... He said he's here for stage wins, also not for GC." (Johan Bruyneel, 17:34)
• Also mentions Joao Almeida as a favorite due to his Tour fitness and preparation.
  • "Almeida has been preparing specifically for this Vuelta." (Johan Bruyneel, 19:10)
• Wildcard: Jonas Vingegaard, especially with the last 5k at 6.5%.
• Both agree GC guys will need to "show their work" already; it could clarify early pecking order.

Notable Quote:

"You kind of have to show your work on a finish like this as a GC contender. So we're going to get to see right away who's fit, who isn't."
— Spencer Martin (17:36)

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Memorable Moments & Quotes

• On the relaxed vibe of the Vuelta:
  "This is never the case in Tour of Spain. The Tour of Spain is relaxed... a tenth of the media. Spectators are not the same."
  — Johan Bruyneel (00:48)

• On Alpecin-Deceuninck’s physicality:
  "They're also just physically big... They can make space because they're so much bigger than everybody else."
  — Spencer Martin (08:34)

• Philipsen’s site at the front:
  "You can barely see him behind them."
  — Johan Bruyneel (08:45)

• UCI Points importance:
  "You can harvest points at these big races by... just guys who can get fifth through eighth. You can score a lot of points in a Grand Tour doing that."
  — Spencer Martin (09:14)

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Timestamps for Important Segments

• 00:29 - Comparing Tour de France and Vuelta peloton stress
• 01:13 - Stage 1 recap & podium finishers
• 02:51 - Small team breakaway roles and wild card system
• 05:41 - Philipsen’s growing tally of Grand Tour sprint wins
• 06:45 - Why sprinters like Philipsen target the Vuelta
• 08:34 - Power of Alpecin’s lead-out train
• 09:14 - UCI points and minor placings explained
• 11:48 - Points classification impact of stage result
• 15:42 - Stage 2 preview: alpine climb and tactical expectations
• 17:34 - Ciccone and Almeida as favorites: tactical reasoning
• 19:10 - Fitness recovery and Almeida’s chances
• 20:16 - End of substantive content, birthday mention

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Conclusion

This episode offered an in-depth yet laid-back analysis of the Vuelta a España’s opening sprint stage—emphasizing how its atmosphere and tactics diverge from the Tour de France. The hosts praised Alpecin-Deceuninck’s control and Philipsen’s return from injury, highlighted the tactical battle for WorldTour points, and gave an expert preview (with betting angles) for Stage 2’s summit finish, expecting early signals from the GC hopefuls.

Transcript

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[Spencer Martin]

Yeah, to me, you know, we talk a lot about, like, difference of the Tour versus the other races. And you're thinking, well, how could that be true? Because these are all professional races. Today you could visibly see, like, when they were showing camera shots of the peloton, like, it was visibly easier than stage one of the Tour Friends, which was also a sprint stage. Yeah, yeah.

[Johan Berniel]

And, you know, there's the, the stress is. It's the stress level. The stress level is just not there. You know, there's. It's like. There's not. I mean, there's not even 20% at stake compared to the Tour de France. It's like in the Tour, okay, this is, this is where it needs to happen. Everybody's at the tip of their toes. This is never the case in Tour of Spain. The Tour of Spain is relaxed.

[Spencer Martin]

Everybody, welcome back to the Move Plus. I'm Spencer Martin. I'm here with Johan Berniel. We are breaking down stage one of the Vuelta Espana. And then at the end, we will. We will bolt on a little episode of outcomes where we predict stage tomorrow. Stage two, Johan. But just to catch everybody up, Stage one, sprint stage in Italy, nothing makes sense. We have the vault of starting with a sprint stage in another country. Jasper Phillips and wins. Ethan Vernon second. Orius Ular third. I still don't really know how to say his name, but I should because he was also third on stage one of the Gird Italia. But it's.

[Johan Berniel]

Or Luis or Luis Aula. Or Luis.

[Spencer Martin]

I. I remember him coming out of seemingly nowhere at this Euro, but at.

[Johan Berniel]

This point, yeah, yeah, he did.

[Spencer Martin]

You know, he was.

[Johan Berniel]

He was already. He was on, if I'm not mistaken. I don't know if he was on. I'm gonna say maybe last year. He's now also double Venezuelan champion time trial and road. And yeah, I mean, in those sprints where there's not really A huge, huge, huge high speed with the, with the big lead outrain. I mean pretty good result for him.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah. And then our. My guy, Mads Peterson, your pick. Yes. For Phillips and wins like, like easy, freakishly easy. Mads Pederson never in good position. Little trek, they seem to be on the front for the entire like last 50k. And then when it mattered, Alpin was suddenly on the front for Phillipson with a perfect lead out and little track was nowhere to be found. Like what? There's not a lot to talk about on this stage, we should say not a lot happened. But what was your, your main takeaway from the day?

[Johan Berniel]

Well, I mean, you know, I mean it was, it was clear that it was going to be a bunch print already. If you look at the Vuelta, the overall, there's maybe three stages where you can say, okay, this is for sure a bunch print. Where actually we know that the sprinter teams can control. So this was for sure one of them. There was no sprinter team that was going to let this opportunity slip away. So obviously not much going on. You know, big break. I mean a breakaway of five, six guys then, then finally one rider stayed away. This, the, the Spanish champion under 23 from last year, I think Pablo de La of Burgos. So you know, we see these, these, these small teams going breakaways as usual. Spain, the Tour of Spain has this system where they rotate the, the wild card. So this year it's Burgos and what is Burgos and Kahal and Kakaral. Last year it was Ken Pharma and Ken Pharma winning last year, winning three stages and not getting an invite. So that's, that's kind of very special. But it's, I think it's, it's great for those teams that at least every, every other year they have a guaranteed Tour de France Tour of Spain start. And yeah, I mean it was clear from the beginning this was going to be a bunch print. So not, nothing going on really in the, in, in the stage except, you know, just waiting for the, waiting for the bunch print.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah. To me, you know, we talk a lot about like the difference of the Tour versus the other races and you're thinking, well how could that be true? Cuz these are all professional races. Today you could visibly see like when they were showing camera shots of the peloton, like it was visibly easier than stage one of the Tour friends, which was also a sprint stage. Yeah, yeah.

[Johan Berniel]

And you know, there's the stress, it's the stress level. The stress level is just not there. You Know this, it's like there's nothing, I mean there's not even 20% at stake compared to the Tour de France. It's like in the Tour, okay, this is, this is where it needs to happen. Everybody's at the tip of their toes. This is never the case in Tour of Spain. The Tour of Spain is relaxed at the start. You know, there's not, there's, there's. I mean there's a tenth of the media. Spectators are not the same. So it is, it is definitely very low key stress, stress wise. And yeah, I mean the roads are usually also better and bigger in Spain. So there's, I think I'm gonna, there's less road furniture in my opinion compared to, to France and Well anyway, we're in Italy now, so we're in Italy. But, but they did pick the least.

[Spencer Martin]

Complex roads maybe in all of Italy for the stage.

[Johan Berniel]

Yeah, but, but no overall, overall this, this, there's no stress at the Vuelta.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah, you could, you could see it, you could feel it. I mean I'm just looking up right now. Jasper Phillipson now has, he has 14 career grand tour wins amongst active riders. That's behind just Primus Raglich and Tada Pagachar. Picachar already is 30 by the way and all time that puts him, he's still, it's actually impressive. Like you Forget like Robin McEwen, 24, career grand tour stageman. So he actually has quite a bit to go. He's there. It was fun to see Phillipson out of his natural environment. You think of him as like a. He just wins so much of the Tour. He's so good at the Tour. He wins today also his teammate Timberlier wins at the Renui Tour. Good day for Alpus and Deconic. Two part question for you. Why did they, why did they start the VTA with this stage? Was it just to entice, like to throw any type of bone to, to a top sprinter like Phillipson? Like hey come, you'll probably win stage one. You at least get a shot. And then we buckle down and it's, it's mountain madness for the rest of the time. Or like what's the thought but behind starting the race. But it's this type of, let's, let's be honest, pretty boring stage.

[Johan Berniel]

Yeah, I mean it all comes down to, you know, the towns that pay the money. Right. And a bit of everything. I mean they have a flat stage today. Tomorrow is a more difficult, I mean pretty, pretty hard finish for stage two. But it's Also a way to attract certain names. You know, I mean the sprinters obviously who come to this race, they have to have a chance early on because otherwise they won't make it over. Some of them won't make it over. In the first week there's already a bunch of really hard stages where sprinters could potentially already go home. So I think it says a lot for Philipson. You know he crashed out heavily in the Tour de France as we spoke in the other podcast. You know I briefly met him there in, in Dania in south of Spain where I met him at the hotel. He explained about his collarbone and you know his shoulder injury and ribs and he went down very, very hard. Was, you know, there, I mean he, there he said okay, you know, I need to, I need to do Spain because I need motivation, you know. So it's, it's obviously still, it's a big, it's a big race. But yeah, I mean to be back like this in the first punch print, I mean if you look at the team also there's no doubt that this is the best lead up train of the whole Tour de France Tour of Spain peloton. This is why they came with Philipson and guys like, you know, like rise big and what's his name, Jonas Rickard and these big guys, Eduard Plunkard, they, that's what they do, that's their job. You know they, they, they actually don't race to win races. They race to lead out. Their guy, it was, it was obvious that he was going to be the big favorite for today.

[Spencer Martin]

They're also just physically big so it's, yeah, they can put out a lot of power so they can get to the front and they can just, they can make space because they're so much bigger than everybody else. I mean the fact that they've just.

[Johan Berniel]

And great to draft also, I mean like Philipson. Yeah, listen, Philipson, he's not, I mean he's not a little, I mean he's not tall but he's not a small guy and you can barely see him behind them.

[Spencer Martin]

I know because he took, how tall is your son? He took a picture next to your son.

[Johan Berniel]

Yeah, yeah, my son is 180 so he's, he's not super tall but he is, I mean he's, he's not a tiny guy. He's a, he's a strong, he's a strong guy. He looks, looks, he looks strong even in his, you know, like, even if he's not in cycling clothes you can see he's A strong guy and he.

[Spencer Martin]

Looks, you're right, he disappears behind those guys. I mean it's a massive advantage. Also becomes the first rider, I believe since Fabian Cancelara in 2009 to win the opening stage of the Tour and the Vault in the same year. Pretty, pretty impressive for him. Wins the opening stage of those Grand Tours. First race leader, as you said. Gotta feel good coming off that injury and I mean Alpus and Deconic, just an impressive day from them. But also behind Brian Kakard seventh. So Unox won a stage at the Tour. At the Deutschland Tour today. Brian Kakar gets seventh and he gets double the amount of UCI points that Unox does today. These are two teams fighting for the last World Tour spot. So that shows you why you're like, what. Like what is Cofitus doing? They should be in the breakaway. It's like no, actually they can heart. You can harvest points at these big races by. It's a probably a mad dash for the, you know, the last half of the top 10. Just really shows you how important those. Those spots are at these races.

[Johan Berniel]

Yeah, yeah, for sure. Well, that's going to bring we. It's obviously nothing to. I mean it has to do with the Tour of Spain because we will obvious look closely at what go for this will be doing. But that battle man for 18th, 18th and 19th place, that's. That's going to be interesting until the very last race of the season, I guess. Until China.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah, until China. The Guangi. I might watch the Guangji Tour for the first time ever. And I mean it shows you the value of someone like Kard. Like he's. He might actually win a stage here, so maybe he would be valuable in that respect. But just guys who can get fifth through eighth. You can score a lot of points in a Grand Tour doing that. Anything else? None of the grand. None of the GC guys lost time. I didn't. I mean Visma was at the front. That's kind of to be expected. So Igor Murnau kind of hanging out at the back. That's kind of to be expected. I didn't really see a lot from the GC that.

[Johan Berniel]

No, I mean you could see. I mean obviously, you know the both Visma Visma around Jonas, they look really dialed in strong. You know, Company Arts as always is there where he has to be. UAE was very, very around much around their leaders. So it was basically those two teams bringing their leaders to the front all the time and then. Yeah, I mean there's not much we can Take away from, from today's stage, other than we know that Jay Vine's not going to go for GC already because he let it go. He was, you know, he did his job and I think he's gonna go for stage wins.

[Spencer Martin]

That's probably for the best. We don't need another GC guy.

[Johan Berniel]

No, no, no, no. There's no, there's no room for that. There's no room for that on uae.

[Spencer Martin]

I guess, I guess the only other thing is the points classification. A bit of a blow to Pedersen. He finishes. Where does he even finish? He finishes 14th, so I don't think that's any points for the points classification. Phillipson gets 50 for first to start in a 50 foot bucket. Not great like that. That's going to be hard for Pedersen to dig himself out of.

[Johan Berniel]

Yeah, well, it's, it depends. I mean, it depends if, you know, if Philipson is really motivated for it and if he gets through the whole Tour of Spain, you know, because it's, it's incredibly hard.

[Spencer Martin]

It's.

[Johan Berniel]

I mean I just, I, I re. Studied the, the course a little bit, man. It's hard. It is, it is like excessively hard stages.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah. And they start tomorrow. I mean, tomorrow's not brutal, but it is a 10k long uphill finish. Do we want. Let's take a quick ad break and then we will preview that stage and give our picks for it when we come back. Let's map out this week's amazing destinations and travel tips.

[Johan Berniel]

Honestly, Will, I didn't plan any trips but I did switch to T Mobile with their new family freedom offer.

[Spencer Martin]

That's not the itinerary we're following.

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[Spencer Martin]

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[Johan Berniel]

Yeah.

[Spencer Martin]

In short stage.

[Johan Berniel]

But it's just a question of, you know, will these teams namely UAE and Visma, will they want to control? Right. And I would, I would also want probably add in a little track with your corner. So I, my guess is yes, they will want to control because, you know, it's, it's not an easy climb. It's an opportunity and I mean I don't, I don't think there's going to be any surprises. You know, it's, it's probably going to be either Jonas who's already, I mean this is already a great, great opportunity. Almeida Aria uso. But my favorite for tomorrow is Julio Ciccone. You know, it's, he's shown that he's in great shape. You know, he's, he's one San Sebastian. It was looked extremely strong there. What did he drop? He, he dropped Del Toro. No, he dropped Del Toro and Jan Kristen. He dropped two UE guys. Then he won the hardest stage in, in Tour of Burgos also beating Del Toro. And, and obviously, you know, he said he's here for stage wins also not for gc. So yeah, he's going to be my favorite to win tomorrow stage and then be a few days in red.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah.

[Johan Berniel]

Through Italy.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah, I, I actually expect the exact same thing to happen. I think Chacone wins this. I think Little track has probably had this circle for a while. The guy's an amazing form. He's very good on finishes like this. Beaten some of the sports best riders on uphill finishes like this. I think he does it. I think he takes red and then after that happens, actually going to be probably some betting opportunities in the GC because he'll be artificially probably weighted up and then riders like Vinegar and Almeida AO could be weighted down. It will be. I'm fascinated to see like you can't really. You kind of have to show your work on a finish like this as a GC contender. So we're going to get to see right away who's fit, who isn't. I would say though, with the odds are not out yet, unfortunately, so we can't reference the odds. But when the odds do come out, remember to check next bets nxtbets.com bet outcomes to get the best price and senate bonuses wherever you are. I would say if I had to pick a wild card though, and I don't know if this is the wild card or the favorite. Jonas Vinegard like the last 5k is 6 and a half percent. I would not be shocked if he wins this stage and like stamps his authority on the race early.

[Johan Berniel]

Yeah. Although I think for Vingegaard it's maybe early. And also the stage is not. The stage itself is not hard. Ciccone. I think in my opinion it's tailored for him. But let's not forget about Joel. Mehda Almeida has been preparing specifically for this Vuelta.

[Spencer Martin]

It is kind of a perfect made a class.

[Johan Berniel]

Since his crash in the Tour, he was on amazing shape. You know, usually when you get a problem, right. And it's not. It's not too severe while you are in top shape, you come back extremely good and you know, you can carry that. That shape. You can recover just faster because you're in. You're in great condition. So, um. Yeah. Almeida is also a candidate for tomorrow.

[Spencer Martin]

He did. Someone sent me on. On Instagram that quote. I didn't like that he went 10 days without riding after crashing at the Tour. Sounds bad, I guess, but if you think he was. He was humming coming into that Tour. So maybe a week and a half break in the middle of July before ramping up for the Volta isn't the worst thing. But we'll see tomorrow we'll find out. But I think Chacon Chicone is just all in on this. This is. He's not going to hold back. He's go for it. I. I would, I would bet Chicone. As long as he's not like minus 500. Because I do think it's probably a chickone finish. Yeah.

[Johan Berniel]

Let's see.

[Spencer Martin]

Anything else, Johan, before it's your birthday, by the way.

[Johan Berniel]

Before you go to your birthday. That's why we have to do the show early and I have limited time. I have to go to a family dinner now I'm in Belgium. So, you know. So from tomorrow on, we'll dive a bit deeper into the stages. Today I'm a bit limited on time.

[Spencer Martin]

Yeah. I don't know if we could have dove any deeper. Stage, an hour and a half. Not much to say.

[Johan Berniel]

No.

[Spencer Martin]

So it worked out well. Happy birthday. And anything else before you leave?

[Johan Berniel]

No, that's it.

[Spencer Martin]

All right, well, thank you so much. And we will be back tomorrow to break down this summit finish that I'm quite excited to see.

[Johan Berniel]

Okay, thanks.

[Spencer Martin]

All right, bye.

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