Tosh Show — “My Oscars Predictions”

Host: Daniel Tosh
Guests: Eddie Gosling, Pete, Dylan, John, Greg (Daniel's father-in-law)
Date: March 10, 2026

Episode Overview

In this Oscars-themed episode, Daniel Tosh delivers his trademark irreverent and incisive rundown of the 2026 Academy Awards Best Picture nominees. Joined by regular sidekick Eddie Gosling (with input from podcast producer Pete, engineer Dylan, and a phone call to his own father-in-law, Greg), Tosh skewers Hollywood, roasts the nominated films, and predicts the big winner — all with plenty of tangential banter and off-color asides.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Award Season, Etiquette, and “The Tourette’s Incident”

[01:31 - 09:06]

• Oscars Etiquette Gone Awry:
  Tosh launches with a riff on the viral moment where a man with Tourette's yelled the N-word during a live Oscars segment. He draws parallels to his own stand-up experiences and pushes for “common sense” in public spaces, humorously suggesting soundproof boxes or special seating for disruptive audience members.

  • "I've done shows where people that have had Tourette's were in the audience. Then it gets annoying. A lot of chirping. You're just like, ah, I get it. But don't be here. Timing is something that really matters in what I'm doing up here." (Daniel, 01:46)

• Comparing Discomforts:
  Tosh elaborates on the limits of tolerating disruptions — not just with Tourette's but with crying babies and sneezers.

  • "Around me, you sneeze twice, and then you leave for the rest of the night." (Daniel, 04:19)

• Rob Schneider & Representation:
  Comic asides about Rob Schneider's infamous movie (Deuce Bigelow) and daughter, with further musings about disabilities and announcements at live shows.

2. A Cynical (and Relatable) Oscars Breakdown

[10:08 - 25:55]

• Tosh’s Relationship with the Oscars:
  Tosh confesses his ambivalence about the Oscars, joking that he only watches for content and shares Trump’s general disdain for awards shows.

  • “This is one of the few times I have to pretend that I side with my team. But really, when Trump shits on the Oscars, I'm right there with him.” (Daniel, 10:57)

• Number of Nominated Films:

  • “There are 10 films nominated for Best Picture, which might be every movie that was made in 2025.” (Daniel, 11:15)

• Watching Habits:
  Most movies were streamed or watched at home; neither Tosh nor Eddie saw many of them in theaters.

3. Blunt Film-by-Film Commentary & Predictions

[12:33 - 25:55]

Each nominee gets roasted with fast, acerbic reviews as Tosh and Eddie banter:

Sinners

• Praised as a “big swing” for Hollywood and Michael B. Jordan’s double role (wry commentary on actors playing multiple parts and Hollywood pay).
  • “Why aren't you all the roles? Even the extras... So give him all the money.” (Daniel, 13:32)
• "Sinners should win based solely on making a vampire zombie movie that I gave a shit about." (Daniel, 14:07)

One Battle After Another

• Declared a near-perfect mix of drama and comedy, with Teyana Taylor’s appearance highlighted as Oscar-worthy.
  • “If they don't win, that's a hate crime." (Daniel, 15:29)
  • Reverse rape scene with Sean Penn celebrated as “the funniest thing I’ve ever seen.” (Daniel, 15:00)
• Sean Penn’s character walk praised for accuracy (“a little River Dancy” and IBS-inspired).
• DiCaprio’s password-forgetting scene labeled instantly relatable.

Begonia

• Satirically scolds movies that uglify Emma Stone. Tosh laments Emma taking roles “from ugly actors.”
  • “Stop taking roles from ugly actors.” (Daniel, 18:06)
• Predicts no awards due to the hangover from the director’s previous controversial film.

F1

• Nominated for Best Picture, but Tosh says it's essentially “Top Gun Maverick 2” and a rehash for boomers.
  • “F1 is laps behind Talladega Nights... Days of Thunder is better.” (Daniel, 20:05)

Frankenstein

• Critiques endless remakes and the cost of the latest version.
  • “Something shouldn’t carry over to the next generation.” (Daniel, 20:15)

Hamnet

• Lampoons the dramatic adaptation of Shakespeare’s domestic life and feigns irritation at anyone correcting his English.
  • “That is a very important life lesson for men: To accomplish great things, we need our families to leave us alone.” (Daniel, 21:37)
• “Nobody named Cliff gonna read Shakespeare.” (Daniel, 22:43)

Marty Supreme

• Finds the film overrated and populated by unlikable characters. Enjoyed Kevin O’Leary’s (Mr. Wonderful, Shark Tank) casting.

Secret Agent

• Skipped due to not wanting to read about political corruption until the “Epstein files” are released.

Sentimental Value

• Skipped due to lack of time and, as with Secret Agent, doubts about its true chances.

Train Dreams

• Completely unfamiliar to Tosh — jokes about the misleading title and its focus on Chinese railroad workers.
  • “At first glance, you would think train dreams was just a love letter to autistic little boys, but it’s not. The lack of trains and dreams on trains really seems misleading.” (Daniel, 25:15)

4. Roundtable Picks & Parental Advice

[26:57 - 31:26]

• The team runs around the room making their Best Picture picks:

  • Eddie: Sinners
  • Pete/Dylan: One Battle After Another
  • John: Hamnet (“such a fucking artsy fartsy piece of shit he is” - Daniel on John, 27:23)

• Tosh calls his father-in-law, Greg, for final input.

  • Greg’s picks: “Sinners. Great... Marty Supreme. Loved it... Frankenstein. Loved it... F1... I can't believe it’s up for the Academy Award, but it’s fun... I'm going to go with One Battle after Another.” (Greg, 28:06–29:16)

• Banter about the Santa Claus/racist “club” from One Battle After Another; playful accusations, defensiveness, and quips about Sean Penn’s performance.

5. Tosh’s Picks — The Satirical Finale

[31:26 - 34:09]

• Tosh mocks the idea of a three-way tie.

  • “This will be... my prediction is this year, it will run long... they’ll announce Sinners... then the people from One Battle After Another will run on stage and grab the microphone from them, say, this is bullshit.” (Daniel, 32:09)

• Ultimately, he jokes that he’s switching his pick to “The Pit,” a TV show — not a movie — because “it’s just one day... it’s great.”

• Chat about a character being written out for real-life political views and a riff on how easily nurses get jobs.

6. Listener Interactions - “They Love Me, They Love Me Not”

[35:34 - 37:29]

• A segment where Eddie reads one positive and one negative listener comment:
  • Positive:
    • “Had a seizure last night... this is making me feel better. Thank you for these, Tosh...” (Young.Chillinger.69, 35:34)
  • Negative:
    • “Tosh, you’re a bum.” (Chaos Dagger 2145, 36:30)
• Daniel riffs on the hobo/bindlestiff life as a source of pride:
  • “You say I’m a bum, like it’s an insult... I got beans and a harmonica.” (Daniel, 36:32–37:03)

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On Michael B. Jordan in Sinners:
  “Why aren't you all the roles? All the roles, yes. In any movie... because it's more enjoyable watching him. So give him all the money.” (Daniel, 13:20)

• On Reverse-Rape Scene in One Battle After Another:
  “The scene where Sean Penn is describing being reverse raped while half of his face was blown off might have been the funniest thing I’ve ever seen.” (Daniel, 15:00)

• On DiCaprio Forgetting Passwords:
  “That scene where he forgot his password might have been the single most relatable thing in the history of cinema.” (Daniel, 16:36)

• On F1’s Nomination:
  “This is why most old people are stupid. It's like anyone that says Larry Bird is the greatest basketball player of all time. Fuck off. Larry Bird wouldn't make the G League today.” (Daniel, 20:06)

• On Hamnet and Shakespeare:
  “Nobody named Cliff gonna read Shakespeare.” (Daniel, 22:43)

• Father-in-law Greg on his winner:
  “I'm going to go with One Battle after Another... Not my favorite, but I think it's going to win.” (Greg, 29:16)

• Tosh on being called a “bum”:
  “You say I'm a bum, like it's an insult. And I say, oh, I'm seeing America. And I got beans and a harmonica.” (Daniel, 36:32–37:03)

Timestamps for Important Segments

• Oscars etiquette & Tourette’s riff: 01:46 - 07:09
• Start of Best Picture rundown: 12:33
• Review of Sinners: 12:33 - 14:57
• Review of One Battle After Another: 14:57 - 18:06
• F1 and “old man” movies: 19:00 - 20:10
• Hamnet & Shakespeare jokes: 21:19 - 22:43
• Team rounds Robin of picks: 27:11 - 28:06
• Father-in-law Greg’s picks and banter: 28:06 - 31:26
• Daniel’s final “prediction”: 31:41 - 34:09
• "They Love Me, They Love Me Not" segment: 35:34 - 37:29

Conclusion

With side-splitting sarcasm, running jokes about movie tropes, and a parade of irreverent tangents, Tosh Show’s Oscars episode delivers a thorough (if not respectful) takedown of the current Oscar lineup and film culture at large. Through quick-witted banter and personal anecdotes, Tosh calls out the absurdity of Hollywood, the pointlessness of awards bloat, and the mundane struggles of modern life — capping it all with unpredictable choices and listener chatter.