Victor Davis Hanson (3:25)
We were in a surreal situation. As I mentioned that Monday Trump was Hitler and Tuesday he was Neville Chamberlain. And so the left never. They had a one concept. Whatever Trump is for, we're against and we're going to smear him and impeach him and shut down the government and get in the street because we despise him and everything he represents. Therefore, if he wants to bomb Iran infrastructure, then he's Hitler, but if he says he doesn't want to do that, then he's Neville Chamberlain. And by the way, I mentioned that earlier, I think everything's calmed down now about I'm going to end your civilization. It's very clear from what he actually does in the past and what he's done in the present that he's never hit dual use except for one bridge in Iran. So he's deliberately not hit power plant, sewer, water, rail stations. So that's the first thing. So they knew that. And he, A person who says, a president who says help is on the way and addresses himself to the Iranian people was reluctant to hit those things, even though every president, I think, except Trump has felt that they were due use. So FDR leveled Japanese cities. He leveled, helped level Dresden. We mentioned that Harry Truman leveled all the power and bridges of North Korea. Lyndon Johnson and Nixon devastated the infrastructure, dual use in North Vietnam. And the Serbian rower Bill Clinton, he was basically running it. It was a French, NATO, British idea. But we joined and ended up. The 99 bombing was 80% ours. And we knocked out every bridge. We paralyzed Belgrade, a lot of people died. We knocked out the power and it hurt Milosevic and it worked. But let's not be naive. And then we had the, the misadventure in Libya. That was seven months. And they all said we didn't hit the infrastructure because we're trying to help the Arab Spring. But you actually look at what they hit. Communications, radio, port facilities. Da, da. And no need to look at Ukraine. We're supporting Ukrainians. And I Don't blame them. They're being, their infrastructure is being hit. They're going after oil refineries and civilian factories and everything. So let's be honest what the left is doing. And Trump then had his deadline, his existential deadline, when he meant regime, he meant the theocratic radical Shia regime, that civilization of radical Shia Islam that has hijacked this wonderful, great Persian country. Okay? So the left doesn't know what to do. So now he's entered these negotiations and they said, we're going to keep the Strait of Hormuz open if you don't bomb us. Well, Trump is relieved because he has one consideration, one it's not the Iranians. Everybody thinks Iranians have leverage on. They have no leverage on him. The leverage is the midterm elections and Republicans are saying we're only seven months away and you got to stop this thing by the end of June. So we have four months to get the message out and get the price of oil down and get the investment coming, if we even have four months. So. And the left knows that. So what I'm getting at is everybody knew that when they say that Iran won, there's nothing left of its military, there's nothing left of its command. I've never seen, no one has ever seen a more asymmetrical war where One side lost 13 people, probably killed 5,000 of the Republican. The Revolutionary Guard and the army, destroyed their command, destroyed their air force, destroyed their air defenses, their capital warships. They're a bunch of PT boats. That's what they've got. So anytime the United States wants to go in there with the fleet and clear that out and take out the sanitary corps, make a sanitary corridor on the north side, they can do it. And if they don't want to do that, they just have to tell the Iranians, we're going to take out the oil. And the world will adjust because we're letting out a million barrels in the strategic reserve when we've got another pumping a million barrels and we're getting Venezuela back online. So you're not going to have your 2 million barrels and do it if that's what they want to do. So all the cards are on ours. But it's a self imposed leverage by domestic opinion and he's got to get his ratings back up to 47. Erasmussen said they were. But along broad polls, 45 or so, the Democratic Party is polling less popular than the Republican. He's got a 50, 50 chance that he can hang on to the House. If he can get out by June. And so then how does he get out? He's got choices. A lot of people are just saying, you know, you destroyed their military, they won't have a bomb for 20 years. If ever you've, you've inflicted a trillion dollars of 47 year defense investment, if you know, just leave, what are they going to do? And somebody said, well, that's a failure because the straight horror moves. Well, that's, there's a time capsule on that. It's important now, but believe me, the Saudis are going to increase their pipeline capacity to the Red Sea. They're even talking to the Israelis to go across to Haifa from their oil fields. And the Omanis are building and expanding their pipelines to the Gulf of Oman, where you wouldn't even have to go into the Persian Gulf. So in the long term of two or three years, in theory, the Strait of Hormuz could be irrelevant because these oil producing countries would have ways to either go through Israel to the Mediterranean or through the Indian Ocean without going into the Persian Gulf or to the Red Sea and out the Red Sea or through Suez. So they know that. And Trump could just say, you know what, you're going to be irrelevant in three years. And I invite all the countries that think it's important we did the heavy lifting, we neutered this regime. We're going to have some assets around, go in there and open it up. You've got about 100 ships, all of EU, NATO countries, Japan, Taiwan, South. Just go in there. If you need air support, we'll help you. That's all he has to say and then leave. Or he can say, I can't negotiate with you people. You lie, you change the conditions and I'm just going to take out Carg island and that's my negotiation. Or he could go back to his original position. I have tried to, but he doesn't see. He doesn't need to go to that bombastic language. A lot of people praised him on the right. They said, well, that's the only language they understand. Yeah, but it has political reverence, ramification. It would be much better to say, I don't want to do this. You guys put me into this position. It's been a long habit of warfare to take out dual use infrastructure. And this bothers me because I want to help the Iranian people. And I address you, when your power goes out and your trains are not running, it's not me that's doing it, it's your regime. I'm just going to finish their control over you. And then he can do that and see if they want to negotiate. If they don't, then he can leave. So he can do a lot of stuff. His only worry is the midterms and that's a time limit. The other problem is everybody says, well, he was humiliated. They gave 15, he had 15 points and they gave 10 demands. And then they want compensation and they want yes, yes, yes, yes, but there is no Iran anymore. All those people who wrote those up, nobody knows who they are. There's not any statesman who's the. Because of two reasons. One, he's wiped out the entire command and control of both the theocratic and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. And then the army and the intelligence people are being wiped out. So nobody wants to say, I am the representative. And so it's kind of like the comedians say, it's him, he wrote it, not me. And that's a. And then the other problem is everybody knows that they've got this. They're sitting on a volcano. Everybody hates them and they don't know. They're kind of like musical chairs. Which one of you is going to be the transitional strongman and join the majority and leave us high and dry? You said that you would open the straits. Maybe it's you. No, it's you. So they're all afraid that some madman, theocrat or Islamic Guard person is going to kill them. So they're all giving. We don't know which is official and which is just. I'm the toughest guy. I told everybody they have to pay compensation, reparations. But it's just, it's chaos. And this is something that nobody appreciates because when we leave that chaos is not going to, it's not going to. If we leave, they're not going to say, well, they've left, it's calm now. We have a motion in parliament to have a 10 year plan costing $1 trillion to rebuild all of our ports, all of our drone fleet, all of our ballistic missile capacity, new factories, start enrichment again and get all of our military, call everything back together. And we have to also now restore all the billions we're giving to the Arab terrorists, Hezbollah, Houthis and Hamas. They're not going to like that. So they got all sorts of. I don't, I don't understand, I don't, I understand them. I don't understand people on the right, or it used to be the influencers. And they say this is a catastrophic failure. It didn't work. What didn't work was believing anything they said. About their ballistic missile capacity or how much enriched uranium we got. We destroyed their ability to make more in last summer's rate, but we had no idea that they might have, if they're not lying again, had enough stored away somewhere to make, take 11 bombs. So.