Episode Overview

Podcast: Your Money Minute – CNBC
Host: Jessica Ettinger
Episode: Oil Prices And Inflation 12/29/25
Date: December 29, 2025

This short episode examines how falling oil prices in late 2025 are providing some relief from persistent inflation for Americans. CNBC’s Jessica Ettinger shares market insights and expert commentary on the ripple effects of lower oil prices, notably from Jefferies’ David Zervos. The discussion spotlights the potential impact of geopolitical shifts and what these changes could mean for consumers and businesses.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Ongoing Inflation Frustrates Americans

• Jessica Ettinger sets the stage by acknowledging consumer fatigue over prolonged rising prices:
  • "Americans are super tired of inflation. Prices have been rising since April. But one thing can help ease that: oil." (00:04)

2. The Decline in Oil Prices in 2025

• David Zervos (Jefferies) underscores the significant drop in oil prices:
  • "We're down 15% this year in oil. Oil's done one thing: go down." (00:11)

3. Possible Further Drop Due to Venezuela

• Zervos discusses geopolitical factors that could push oil lower:
  • "If there's a change in leadership in Venezuela, prices could come down even more." (00:15)

Notable Quote

• "If new regime, we're going to see oil in the in the mid-40s to high-40s, and that's going to be an extra juice as we see the disinflationary consequences of that rip through pretty much every market. So I see it as market positive."
  • David Zervos (00:23)
• Suggests that new Venezuelan leadership might bring oil prices to $40–$49/barrel, boosting disinflation and benefiting broader markets.

4. How Lower Oil Prices Affect the Economy

• Jessica Ettinger explains the cascading effects:
  • "When oil prices drop, gasoline prices drop, impacting the cost of energy production and transportation for an untold number of businesses and products." (00:38)
• This translates to potential relief:
  • Companies might be able to lower prices or at least slow down price hikes for consumers.

Memorable Moments & Quotes

• 00:11 – David Zervos:
  "We're down 15% this year in oil. Oil's done one thing: go down."
• 00:23 – David Zervos:
  "...we're going to see oil in the in the mid-40s to high-40s, and that's going to be an extra juice as we see the disinflationary consequences of that rip through pretty much every market."
• 00:38 – Jessica Ettinger:
  "When oil prices drop, gasoline prices drop, impacting the cost of energy production and transportation..."

Timestamps of Important Segments

• 00:00–00:04 – Host introduces inflation context and the role of oil
• 00:11–00:15 – Oil’s 15% decline in 2025, David Zervos comments
• 00:15–00:23 – Geopolitical changes in Venezuela and further oil price drop
• 00:23–00:38 – Potential oil price range and positive market implications
• 00:38–01:06 – Oil price drop effects on gasoline, businesses, and consumer prices

Episode Tone & Style

• The tone is brisk, informative, and direct, befitting a daily 60-second update.
• Uses clear, approachable language to explain market movements and their real-world effects.

For more on oil and inflation, visit cnbc.com.

Summary skips product advertisements and focuses exclusively on content up to 01:06.