B (26:37)
Well, that's of course a huge subject. I mean, that's right. You have volumes of gibbon about Rome and here we have a very small amount of time. But maybe we can address that by thinking of a theme. And the theme would be internal versus external, because right now that seems to me to be in a sense the chief hidden, lurking danger. Because both parties have decided to various extents and in different ways that we don't have to think of the external threats to us in the same way that we have to deal with the internal ones. And the. And in one case with the Democrats and the left, they've never wanted to spend the money on the military. And they think that actually the reason that there's problems abroad is because we're so bad that we essentially create them by being imperialistic or whatever they say we are. And on the right now we have this flirtation with isolationism. It's more than flirtation. The national conservative movement, and by the way, you'd think that they would not, they would name it something different or maybe they never heard of National Socialism, I don't know. But the national conservative movement, conservatism movement or conservative, I don't know which is which. It is, is full blown isolationist at this point because they say we have to take care of everything here, including the border. Why should we, why should we defend Ukraine's borders when our borders are being overrun by millions of people, including terrorist, drugs, et cetera? The lessons of history show that these things are inseparable. You cannot deal with the one if you don't deal with the other. They're mutually independent, interdependent. Take Rome for example. In Rome, Rome, as everyone knows from Gibbon, decayed internally. It just went to hell in the same way that we have the morals, mores, standards, the systems of government all essentially decayed and declined. And people say, well, that's why Rome fell. But on the other hand, people say, well, Rome fell because of the pressure of the barbarians and various people from the outside. Those two things were interlinked. For example, Rome began to rely because its citizenry was corrupt and soft, because they had too much success, too much wealth on hiring barbarians to defend it along its perimeter. It would essentially contract out what the Roman legions had done when Rome was in a healthy and expansive state. And those barbarians then turned against Rome and invaded it eventually. A couple of, maybe 10, 20 years ago in the Proceedings of the United States Naval Institute, there was an article which they stressed, a big article called the Thousand Ship Navy. And I, and I've been reading that this proceeding since 1967, every issue, cover to cover. And I saw that article, I thought, oh, maybe, maybe someone like Reagan is back, you know, John Lehman, 600 ship Navy. And someone's even more ambitious as I would be, let's have a thousand ship Navy. Okay. And then I read the article and it was, I think it was the chief of Naval Operations who wrote it, I don't remember. But anyway, it was a high admiral and the idea was, well, we actually have a thousand ship navy because if you count the navies of Britain and France and Japan and South Korea, South Korea's navy, by the way, is bigger than the Royal Navy. Now that's what happened to the Royal Navy if you count all our allies. Yeah, we have 1,000 ship Navy. So we don't have to have a bigger navy because you can't. And that's a really strange form of accounting because what it does, among other things, is it will fracture any alliance. If an alliance doesn't have a central pillar, then the Allies will not adhere to it. How do you think NATO, which needs unanimity of decision, reaches that? As it often, as it mostly does. It's because the United States has the power, because we are so much stronger than any of our allies in NATO and because we spend so much more to say, look this way. It's got to be. If everyone in an alliance were equal, it would break apart because various countries would disagree with other ones, and then they would perhaps seek another protector, such as China, if they felt that that was to their advantage. An alliance has to have a stronger central pillar in order for it to function correctly. Now, that's Rome. What about Britain? The theme is the external versus the internal. And my point is that you cannot separate the two. Just briefly, in Britain, why did the British Empire collapse? I think that the start of the collapse of the British Empire was when they lost the United States. The population of Great Britain at that time was 8 million of the colonies of the 13 colonies was 2 1/2 million. That's almost a third. And the area of the 13 colonies was four and a half times that of Britain. And it was much richer in resources. And then, you're not even counting all the way to the Mississippi and beyond us, eventually we expanded. The Brits were aware of that. They knew there were great resources in the Northwest Territories and all the way to the Mississippi. And when that was taken from them, that was the beginning of their decline. And by the way, for example, Napoleon came along soon thereafter, and George iii, who had lost the North American colonies, was the first king since the Hundred Years War to renounce his claim to France. Because the British king said, well, we own France too. They began to go down, even though in the Victorian period they were supposedly, you know, reached their peak. In some ways they did. But I think the decline began in America. And why did it. Why did it happen? Why did Britain lose the colonies when they had the greatest navy in the world, the professional armies, and lots of loyalists in the United States? The Revolution was really, really closely run, as everyone knows who studies it. We almost didn't make it. How was it that we did? The crucial element was France. If we didn't have the French navy covering for us, for instance, at Yorktown, Cornwallis would not have surrendered because the British ships, we used their cannon, and we would have lost. At Yorktown and in various ports, the British were able to blockade, et cetera, et cetera. But they couldn't do it to the extent that they wanted because of the French navy, which ran interference. If The British had, at the beginning, in 1776, they had 250 warships. If they had double that amount and they built during the war, but wasn't in time, if they had double that amount, they could have prevented the French navy from any kind of action in this area in the North American continent. And they could have prevented the supplies and armaments from France and the stuff from the Caribbean that kept us alive during the revolution. And we would have been British now. It would have been an anglosphere had they done this. A very simple thing, the strength of the navy it wasn't. They had a terrific navy, it was the best in the world, but it wasn't strong enough. That's an external thing which then helped with the internal thing. If you now think of the United States and think of the left, which doesn't want to spend on military because they only want every, you know, every toothbrush to have toothpaste on it and every pencil drawer to be nicely ordered and everyone to have everything they want and everyone to be completely happy internally before even looking externally. And then there's the right. And the right says, well, why should we spend money abroad when things are not perfect here? And the strongest case they have is the border. Millions of people coming over the border. But you know, the border a is an external thing, it's an external force and it's not treated as such. It's much like our forward defense throughout the world, only it's a little closer. And the second thing about the border is we could very easily close it hermetically as we should. You know, immigration is really good. It has built a country. Most of the people who come here work hard, responsible, law abiding and they really do help the economy and help the country. However, not one single one should be allowed into the United States without proper legal vetting and procedure. Not one. And we can do that. The border is very easy to seal hermetically. A few changes in law and it can be done. In terms of the practical, think of it this way. Israel has a border of 833 miles, including the sea border. The US Mexico border is 1954 miles, a little more than twice the length of Israel's border. But Israel has people who want to come over and kill people and more or less they keep them out, except for October 7th missiles flying over. But in terms of infiltration, such as we have, Israel has been successful for 75 years in keeping people out. But Israel has now, for example, we have 50 times the population of Israel and almost 60 times the GDP. If Israel can do that, and we can certainly do it with people who don't have bazookas, you know, on the other side of the border. And if you did that, you know, we have, we have fencing, we have the technical means. There are many natural barriers. A couple billion, $10 billion, and we could seal that border. We have 17,000 agents right now on the southern border. Double them. We have. There are 50 ports of entry on the southern border. Double, especially the big ones, double them. So that we could be more careful of letting people in, catch more drugs, catch more smugglers, catch more illegals. And then, to coin a phrase, if you build it, they will not come. If you shut it down, then people will stop coming. And then you could ease off on the expense and the enforcement because they would know that if they started to come, we reestablished the higher levels. So the border is not, it shouldn't be a trade off between the border and American defense, meaning particularly military spending. Let me make a point here which has from the years 1940 to 2000, in the peacetime years, not in World War II, not, not in Korea, not in Vietnam, not in the Gulf War, in the peacetime years, we spent an average of 5.6 or 5.7% of GDP on defense. In the last several decades, we've been spending about 3% and fighting wars here, there and everywhere which really degrade our equipment. If you look at our ships, they're rusty and the sailors are stressed, the ships run aground. It's pathetic. China's navy now is bigger than our navy and they keep on building and they're ahead of us in hypersonics and they're ahead of us in supercomputing. If we keep on in this way, then, and this is what people generally don't understand because we've been so successful up to this point, our future as a sovereign, independent nation is in jeopardy. If you have this building alliance between Russia and China, with Iran being a kind of a sidekick and North Korea being a sidekick, what will happen when I can almost guarantee you that there will be Chinese military bases in Latin America, why wouldn't it be? They have penetrated Latin America, as has Russia, and there's no reason why they wouldn't establish basis there. Why? Because we long ago abandoned the Monroe Doctrine. When we had the Monroe Doctrine, by the way. The Monroe Doctrine was originally addressed to the question of Russia in Alaska, but then it included the whole hemisphere. We couldn't have done it ourselves because we were weak at that during the time of President Monroe. But The British said, well, we agree with you. We don't want European powers messing around in the Western Hemisphere, so we'll help you do it. And since that time we've had the Monroe Doctrine. We then became perfectly able ourselves to enforce it. And now we can't enforce it. We have Russian and Chinese penetration of Latin America as well as Africa. Who's to say that there won't be Chinese or Russian bases in Latin America? You know, in the Zimmerman telegram was an intercepted telegram in which the Kaiser proposed to Mexico that Mexico entered the war, the first World War, on behalf of Germany, again against the United States. Japan, which invented. People don't know this, but Japan invented amphibious warfare before we did. Japan surveyed the coast of Mexico prior to World War II to see where landings could be made. They won't have to land. China won't have to land. It'll establish military bases. It controls most of the crucial ports all around the world. Even in Europe, our footing is dropping beneath us and we are not doing anything when one of the ways, the chief way, of course we have to get ourselves straight at home too. But the chief thing is to stop the external pressure in the same way that I mentioned had written expended the resources to double the size of the Royal Navy, then France would not have been able to pull us through the revolution and the British Empire would have been much different for much longer time, maybe even into the present. We are falling behind in every measure of defense, both high tech stuff and in the staples of defense, in the numbers of ships, the numbers of planes, the numbers of forces are industrial base. Whereas Russia and China are increasing. And I'll tell you, if Russia conquers Ukraine, then Europe is in jeopardy. And if we lose Europe, then we are gone because that means that we would not have control of the North Atlantic. China, Europe is our ally both militarily and economically. It's our biggest trading partner other than Mexico and Canada. And it's more important than Asia, although Asia is more of a threat in the very, very long term. We cannot lose Europe if we lose Europe. Europe, the international chess game goes much in favor of Russia and China. They will be encouraged to do even more and they will. If China dominates the Pacific, which at this point, if the trajectory holds between China's military buildup, which is like this and ours, which is like that, going down, you know, crossed swords are as pointing down. Then they will control the Pacific all the way up to California and Hawaii. Their ships will patrol the Pacific as once we, as even currently we do in The Western Pacific. Our allies in the Western Pacific, Japan, Australia, to some extent Taiwan will be. South Korea will be forced to fall under Chinese domination and, and more or less sever the ties with us. This may take a while, but it won't be that long. I probably won't see it, I'm 77. But you may, and certainly younger people will.