Professor Ali Ansari (31:56)
I know, I know. Well, I think the agreement was pretty good for the west actually, in terms of arms control. I mean, and that's the difference. I think it was very, very difficult, in dangero, dangerous in terms of confidence building. And I think many people in the west and Iran to some extent, but mainly in the west try to sell it as some sort of new opening and some sort of confidence building measure that would lead to, you know, new opening in Iran. A bit like, you know, when Nixon went to China type model, you know, that we're going to open up, there's a young population, they'll all be, you know, the economy will get better and there'll be liberalization, so on and so forth. And you know, there were several flaws in that thinking. One is that they, they, they didn't really sort of think through. So the agreement, which took two years to get to resolution and the Iranians dragged it out for as long as they possibly could and of course lost some of the momentum. There was very good on the sort of the nerdy technicalities of centrifuges and uranium enrichment. It was much less good on sanctions relief or how the hell you were going to sort of like work with an Iranian economy and get it restructured. Now I remember the days when if you went to the World bank or the IMF and you took money, it often came with certain strings attached. Yeah, I mean, people would be very critical about it and say it's not right. But actually there is a purpose to that. If you're going to put money into this car, you've got to also encourage that it makes the necessary adjustments it needs to do so that this money can at least, you know, work properly and work for the people. You know, at this stage, this was not going to happen because the Iranian economy was so closed and corrupt that any money that went into it was going to go straight into the hands of those that didn't like you. So, I mean, I used to say to people, I said, why are you, you know, why is Obama releasing all this money, all it's going to do is fund proxies in the Middle east that are killing American soldiers. I mean, why are you doing that? But people didn't want to see it that way. They wanted to see purely as sort of a nuclear, you know, the centrifuge and parking the nuclear issue. But even that, you see the problem with that was that the, the agreement itself had sunset clauses. So these sunset clauses would have been finished by now, by the way. We'd have been out the nuclear agreement agreement. And you know, after the sunset clauses, the Iranians had made very clear that they planned to have an industrial scale enrichment program. Now, you know, you tell me what that means, okay? And I have to say, you know, people in, in the Western sort of diplomatic community who are arguing this were guilty of some very bad wishful thinking actually when, you know, they could say, well, the Iranians don't mean it, something's been lost in translation. No, no, they made it very clear what they wanted to do. They wanted to mass produce enriched uranium and so sell it on the open market. I mean this completely absurd idea, you know. And you know, when I used to say to people, you know, this is what the Iranians think they're going to do, they'd say we'll have a, we'll have a supplementary agreement on top of it and we'll restrict it further. Whatever I, I thought this was all for, this was all wishful thinking on a grand scale. But on the Iranian side, the worst thing that the Iranians did, and I think Zarif and the others, we all think that the Iranians are fantastic negotiators and they're clearly not actually. I mean the agreement they signed or the agreement they agreed, I should say, because it was never signed, it was never a treaty, you see, basically didn't include access to the US dollar at all. So they had this sort of absurd notion that they had UN sanctions came off, EU sanctions came off, but American primary sanctions stayed on and the American primary sanctions stayed on for human rights and terrorism things. So the nucleus stuff basically came up with the other. And what this meant was that nobody could access the US dollar. So in actual fact the whole agreement from the get go was crippled, I mean it was crippled by this fact that the Iranians expected vast amounts of money to come into their economy and sort of re. Energize it. Now as I said to you earlier, there were problems even with that because people weren't going to rush into an economy that had no transparency to it. But setting that aside, we had this absurd situation and I, I witnessed it myself. You know, where you go into a meeting and there'd literally be a State Department or Foreign Office official saying to people, you know, you've got to move back into Iran. We've got to encourage trade and investment. And then they'd leave the room and then the US treasury official would come in after and say, you better do your due diligence because if you, because, because if you contravene the remaining sanctions left, we're going to really hit you with a big fine. Now, you know, most businesses were saying, God, it's difficult enough going to Iran to work. The last thing we want is US treasury down on X as well. You know, I mean, and as you said earlier, you know, the point was the US treasury would say something like, the Revolutionary Guard is a sanctioned organization. You cannot do business with any business in Iran with Revolutionary Guard links. So, you know, some would say, oh, well, let's go and do our due diligence on this company and work out whether it's connected to the Revolutionary Guard.