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Signal vs Noise: Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Liam Nelson, and Brian Cubellis debate the White House's push to ban China's Kimi K3 AI model, dissect Jamie Dimon's warning that markets underestimate risk and he wouldn't buy stocks or treasuries at these prices, unpack why the World Cup trophy's gold has surged from $150,000 to $550,000 since 2020, and weigh the Clarity Act's odds as they swing from 30% to nearly 50% ahead of its early August deadline.---🎙️ About The ShowSignal vs Noise: a twice weekly how unpacking the five biggest stories across capital markets, technology, and people, with five minutes on the clock for each.🧠 Chapters04:06 - Topic 1 - US Weighs Banning China's Kimi K3 AI Model15:08 - Topic 2 - Jamie Dimon Won't Buy Stocks or Treasuries22:29 - Topic 3 - The World Cup, Gambling & Inflation29:30 - Topic 4 - Clarity Act's Ethics Language Enters the Final Stretch37:20 - Topic 5 - Lightning Round: Signals of the Week44:36 - Wrap-Up & Parting Thoughts💡 Subscribe & Watch Live:▶️ https://www.youtube.com/@SignalvsNoiseLIVE✖️ https://x.com/OnrampMedia📰 Your 1-Stop News & Data Source:https://onramp.media/🔸 Buy, hold, and secure your bitcoin in one place. Open a free Onramp Finance account.👉 https://go.onrampbitcoin.com/finance-svn🎧 More from Onramp Media: The Last Trade | Final Settlement

Connect with Early Riders — https://www.earlyriders.com/contactConnect with Onramp — https://onrampbitcoin.com/contact-us/Presented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media…Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering capital markets, dealmaking, early-stage venture, bitcoin applications and protocol development.This week Michael, Liam, and Brian break down Moonshot's Kimmy K3 release and what a more open, cheaper Chinese frontier model means for the race against Claude Fable 5 and GPT 5.6, from cyber guardrails and export controls to the Trump administration weighing a ban on Chinese models. They dig into the AI capital markets: Anthropic and DeepSeek's IPO plans, Nous Research's $75 million raise at a $1.5 billion valuation, Gavin Baker's intelligence-per-dollar thesis, Liquid AI, and OpenShip's self-hostable app platform. The guys run through the payments story: the $53 billion Stripe, Advent, and Block bid for PayPal, Visa's new OUSD stablecoin platform, and Amazon Japan's move into a yen-backed stablecoin. They cover a stack of digital asset headlines: IBIT options limits rising to 1 million contracts, Citadel's $400 million investment in Crypto.com at a $20 billion valuation, the ECB's digital euro pilot, Velocity's $38 million Series A, Tether's Genius Act countdown, and Lynn Alden's new Bitcoin-focused PE firm. They close on where the Clarity Act stands, Early Riders' mid-year letter, Onramp's back-to-basics promo, and AI's arrival in film and music.Chapters00:00 - Introduction and Weekly Recap01:26 - Kimmy K3 Release and Open Source AI Models05:43 - Meta-level Analysis of AI Race and AGI08:04 - AI Development: Capabilities and Guardrails09:44 - AI as a Commodity and Data Strategies11:08 - Global AI Race and Export Controls13:13 - US-China AI Power Dynamics16:46 - US Regulatory Posturing and Competition21:55 - US and Chinese AI Model Competition24:58 - AI Infrastructure and Market Share Shifts31:40 - AI and Financial Markets: IPOs and Capital Flows36:29 - Open Source AI Projects and Sovereignty37:16 - Fintech and Payments: Stripe, PayPal, and Crypto49:05 - Digital Asset Headlines: Tether, Stablecoins, and Regulation52:58 - Crypto Market Dynamics and Capital Flows55:25 - Bitcoin and Digital Asset Strategies01:00:16 - AI and Bitcoin: The Future of Capital and Innovation01:12:50 - Closing Remarks and Future OutlookIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly: https://www.earlyriders.com/researchKeep up with Michael:https://x.com/MTangumaKeep up with Liam:https://x.com/Lnelson_21Keep up with Brian:https://x.com/BackslashBTC

Signal vs Noise: Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Liam Nelson, and Brian Cubellis dig into 96% odds the Fed holds rates flat, a Ramp report showing AI-heavy firms are hiring not firing, a survey where 69% of Americans want OpenAI and Anthropic to give up half their stock, and shocking data on AI companions, with 72% of teens reporting a romantic relationship with AI and marriage rates at a 120-year low.---🎙️ About The ShowSignal vs Noise: a twice weekly show unpacking the five biggest stories across capital markets, technology, and people, with five minutes on the clock for each.🧠 Chapters01:25 - Topic 1 - Fed Holds at 96% Odds: Signal or Noise?07:16 - Topic 2 - AI Is Hiring, Not Firing (The Ramp Report)12:58 - Topic 3 - Americans Want AI Giants to Share Their Stock19:54 - Topic 4 - AI Companions Are Eating Dating29:00 - Topic 5 - Lightning Round: Signals of the Week37:10 - Wrap-Up & Parting Thoughts💡 Subscribe & Watch Live:▶️ https://www.youtube.com/@SignalvsNoiseLIVE✖️ https://x.com/OnrampMedia📰 Your 1-Stop News & Data Source:https://onramp.media/👉 Get Back to Basics: 50% off trading fees + no-fee recurring buys — open your free account: https://go.onrampbitcoin.com/back-to-basics-tlt🎧 More from Onramp Media: The Last Trade | Final Settlement

The Last Trade: Jackson, Michael, and Brian make the case that Bitcoin is carving out a structural bottom as old-coin distribution collapses and the worst of ETF and treasury-company selling exhausts itself. They break down Japan reclassifying crypto as a financial product and slashing its effective tax rate from 55% toward 20%. They dig into why the Clarity Act, not the administration, is the real green light for Wall Street. They close on Morgan Stanley's $4 to $8 trillion AI capex wave and the launch of Onramp's Back to the Basics campaign.---🔸 Connect with Onramp: The leader in resilient, fault-tolerant Multi-Institution Custody for secure, enduring bitcoin ownership.👉 Get Back to Basics: 50% off trading fees + no-fee recurring buys — open your free account: https://go.onrampbitcoin.com/back-to-basics-tlt📩 Schedule a consultation:https://meetings.hubspot.com/onrampbitcoin/tltThe Last Trade: a weekly, bitcoin-native podcast covering the intersection of bitcoin, tech, & finance on a macro scale. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, & Brian Cubellis. Join us as we dive into what bitcoin means for how individuals & institutions save, invest, & propagate their purchasing power through time. It's not just another asset… in the digital age, it's The Last Trade that investors will ever need to make.🎙️ About This EpisodeThe crew opens on Alex Thorn's chart showing 2026 on pace for less than half the awakened old coins of 2024 and 2025, and Will Clemente's read that ETF and treasury-company selling has largely exhausted itself while long-term holders sit on record supply. Brian sees Bitcoin grinding into the $90Ks by year end, with 2027 as the year the market realizes it isn't dead. They break down Japan reclassifying crypto as a financial product and cutting its effective tax rate from 55% toward 20%, then argue the Clarity Act's real power is air cover: defined CFTC and SEC roles that let JP Morgan, BlackRock, and DTCC lay tokenization plumbing without fear of a Warren-style ambush. The back half runs through Interactive Brokers listing nine tokens, Bessent's Iran wallet seizures and Fort Knox gold claim, and Morgan Stanley's forecast of $4 to $8 trillion in AI capex by 2028. They close on Onramp's Back to the Basics launch: Brian's fundamentals report, zero-fee DCA, 50% off Bitcoin trades through Labor Day, and 100 free Bitcoin IRAs under code basics.🧠 Chapters00:00 - Introduction and Podcast Announcements03:31 - Bitcoin Sentiment and On-Chain Distribution in 202408:17 - On-Chain Valuation Metrics and Market Sentiment12:42 - Japan's Crypto Legislation and Tax Reforms14:34 - US Legislation and Global Regulatory Race20:35 - Implications of Japan's Crypto Policy for US Markets25:46 - Market Outlook and Institutional Flows33:42 - Tokenomics and Altcoin Dynamics37:22 - Iran Crypto Asset Seizures and Geopolitical Risks43:56 - Data Center Buildouts and AI Infrastructure49:10 - Back to the Basics: Bitcoin Fundamentals and Education58:27 - Conclusion and Final Remarks💡 Subscribe & Stay AheadGet Onramp's weekly Research & Analysis:High-signal insights in bitcoin, macro, and custody.📩 https://onrampbitcoin.com/researchSubscribe to Onramp Media for more:🎧 The Last Trade | Final Settlement | SVN Live

Signal vs Noise: Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Liam Nelson, and Brian Cubellis debate whether June's cooler-than-expected 3.5% CPI print is signal or noise, break down oil's surge on Middle East tensions, unpack the ultra-wealthy land-maxing trend reshaping Palm Beach real estate, react to New York's first-in-the-nation data center moratorium, and dig into Strategy's new Bitcoin Bank Adoption Index, where Fidelity leads at 71% and RBC trails at just 13%.---🎙️ About The ShowSignal vs Noise: a twice weekly show unpacking the five biggest stories across capital markets, technology, and people, with five minutes on the clock for each.🧠 Chapters00:26 - Topic 1 - CPI Cools to 3.5%: Signal or Noise?06:10 - Topic 2 - Oil Surges on Middle East Tensions11:53 - Topic 3 - The Ultra-Wealthy Are Buying Up Entire Blocks17:57 - Topic 4 - New York's Data Center Moratorium23:30 - Topic 5 - Strategy's Bitcoin Bank Adoption Index28:33 - Wrap-Up & Parting Thoughts💡 Subscribe & Watch Live:▶️ https://www.youtube.com/@SignalvsNoiseLIVE✖️ https://x.com/OnrampMedia📰 Your 1-Stop News & Data Source:https://onramp.media/🔸 Buy, hold, and secure your bitcoin in one place. Open a free Onramp Finance account.👉 https://go.onrampbitcoin.com/finance-svn🎧 More from Onramp Media: The Last Trade | Final Settlement

Connect with Early Riders — https://www.earlyriders.com/contactConnect with Onramp — https://onrampbitcoin.com/contact-us/Presented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media…Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering capital markets, dealmaking, early-stage venture, bitcoin applications and protocol development.This week Michael, Liam, and Brian break down the banks' accelerating tokenization push: BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan joining a 54-firm UK tokenization task force, Swift's blockchain ledger pilot with 17 banks, and what it means for Bitcoin's role in the emerging plumbing. They dig into Satya Nadella's AI sovereignty thesis, Microsoft's Frontier Company data play, Apple's lawsuit against OpenAI, and the Fed's new AI task force under Kevin Warsh. The guys run through a stack of deals: TerraWolf's $19 billion Anthropic infrastructure agreement, OLAMA's $65 million raise, Paradigm's $1.2 billion fourth fund expanding into AI and robotics, and Tether's $20 million investment in Mercado Bitcoin. They close on TradFi's crypto expansion via SBI Holdings and Russia's Alpha Bank, Kraken's $22 million lawsuit win, where the Clarity Act stands ahead of the midterms, and Spiral's new open source push to merge Bitcoin and AI.Chapters00:00 - Introduction and Show Overview00:18 - Market Sentiment and Show Focus01:15 - Banks and Traditional Enterprises in Digital Asset Space02:40 - UK Tokenization Task Force and Use Cases03:40 - Swift Blockchain Ledger Pilot with 17 Banks04:34 - Global Sprint in Tokenized Securities and Deposits07:23 - Bitcoin's Role in the Future of Digital Infrastructure09:39 - The Bullish Case for Bitcoin Amidst Tokenization12:28 - AI Tools and Sovereignty in Data Ownership15:37 - Microsoft's Investment in AI and Data Sovereignty22:16 - Microsoft Frontier Company and Proprietary Data Platforms25:07 - The Importance of Human Agency in AI Adoption28:40 - AI and the Disruption of Traditional Business Models29:08 - Apple Suing OpenAI Over Trade Secrets32:36 - The Long-Term Impact of AI and Open Source Models36:50 - DoorDash's AI Code Reviewer and Internal AI Adoption38:19 - Fed's AI Task Force and Economic Policy43:32 - Russia's Strategic Use of Bitcoin and Digital Assets50:07 - Paradigm's New Fund and Broader Tech Investment55:13 - Traditional Finance's Entry into Crypto and Digital Assets01:02:41 - Regulatory Developments and the Future of Crypto Legislation01:09:18 - Bitcoin's Role in the Future of Digital Infrastructure01:11:21 - Open Source AI and Bitcoin IntegrationIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly: https://www.earlyriders.com/researchKeep up with Michael:https://x.com/MTangumaKeep up with Liam:https://x.com/Lnelson_21Keep up with Brian:https://x.com/BackslashBTC

Signal vs Noise: Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Liam Nelson, and Brian Cubellis launch a new twice weekly show built around a five minute shot clock. This first episode takes on a single story: the Wall Street Journal's claim that moving back in with your parents is now a sign of financial savvy. Nearly half of American adults under 30 are doing it. The panel's verdict is that it isn't savvy, it's survival.---🎙️ About The ShowSignal vs Noise: a twice weekly show unpacking the five biggest stories across capital markets, technology, and people, with five minutes on the clock for each.🧠 Chapters00:00 - Welcome to Signal vs Noise01:03 - Why this show, and why now02:33 - Building in public, and escaping the permanent underclass03:37 - Practitioners, not pontificators04:36 - Topic 1: "Moving Back Home Used to Be a Sign of Failure"06:53 - Financial survival, not financial savvy07:07 - The road to serfdom08:04 - The $20 lunch, and what the headline misdirects09:14 - 1971, 17x homes, 36x money supply11:59 - Where to watch, and how to submit topics13:50 - Good test, good first run💡 Subscribe & Watch Live:▶️ https://www.youtube.com/@SignalvsNoiseLIVE✖️ https://x.com/OnrampMedia📰 Your 1-Stop News & Data Source:https://onramp.media/🔸 Onramp Finance: Buy, hold, and secure your bitcoin in one place. Open a free Onramp Finance account.👉 https://go.onrampbitcoin.com/finance-svn🎧 More from Onramp Media: The Last Trade | Final Settlement

The Last Trade: Jackson, Michael, and Brian break down Vanguard's surprise listing for a head of digital assets and what TradFi's reluctant capitulation really signals. They dig into Bitcoin's 50% retrace into the $60Ks, why momentum (not Saylor) is driving price, and Bill Miller's case for intrinsic value. They close on the culture downstream of debasement: the socialist moment, a gambling epidemic, and Apple's overnight price hikes.---🔸 Connect with Onramp: The leader in resilient, fault-tolerant Multi-Institution Custody for secure, enduring bitcoin ownership.👉 Onramp Finance: https://onrampbitcoin.com/finance👉 Sign up for Genesis: https://onrampbitcoin.com/finance#gen..📩 Schedule a consultation: https://onrampbitcoin.com/consultThe Last Trade: a weekly, bitcoin-native podcast covering the intersection of bitcoin, tech, & finance on a macro scale. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, & Brian Cubellis. Join us as we dive into what bitcoin means for how individuals & institutions save, invest, & propagate their purchasing power through time. It's not just another asset… in the digital age, it's The Last Trade that investors will ever need to make.🎙️ About This EpisodeThe crew opens on Vanguard's listing for a head of digital assets in its personal wealth division, weighing whether it's a career-maker or a bureaucratic trap inside a $10T passive giant that only recently allowed Bitcoin ETFs on its platform. They compare the inertia across TradFi, from Fidelity Digital Assets and Charles Schwab's live brokerage to Franklin Templeton's more aggressive push, and note the new Vanguard CEO ran iShares during the iBit launch. Brian unpacks Bill Miller's piece on Bitcoin's intrinsic value, arguing a 17-year discount to terminal value persists because so few understand money itself. Michael ties the monetization path to education, micropayments (Spark, Cash App), and the Bitcoin and AI convergence, while Jackson points to Scott Bessent's speech on America writing the rules of the next economy alongside stablecoins, the Genius Act, and OpenUSD. The back half turns social: the Mises Institute on the socialist moment and Mamdani, the Cantillon effect and wealth concentration since 1971, skyrocketing gambling-disorder diagnoses in legal sports-betting states, and Apple raising hardware prices 10 to 50% overnight. They wrap on a running tally of crypto and KYC data breaches, 29 incidents and 31M+ records over seven years, and why self-custody and sovereignty matter more than ever.🧠 Chapters00:00 - Introduction and Excitement for the Episode01:30 - Discussion on Vanguard's New Role in Digital Assets04:57 - Challenges of Traditional Financial Institutions09:30 - Market Dynamics and Bitcoin's Momentum13:52 - Bitcoin's Intrinsic Value and Market Perception18:05 - The Role of Education in Bitcoin Adoption24:19 - The Future of Digital Assets and Inflation30:44 - Convergence of Bitcoin and AI in the Future36:17 - The Future of Money and Tokenization41:43 - Understanding Bitcoin's Value and Scarcity42:01 - The Rise of Socialism in America49:11 - Wealth Concentration and Economic Inequality52:59 - Gambling Disorders and Economic Desperation58:21 - Consumer Product Price Increases and Class Divides01:03:57 - Data Breaches and the Permanent Underclass💡 Subscribe & Stay AheadGet Onramp's weekly Research & Analysis:High-signal insights in bitcoin, macro, and custody.📩 https://onrampbitcoin.com/researchSubscribe to Onramp Media for more:🎧 The Last Trade | Final Settlement | Scarce Assets

Connect with Early Riders — https://www.earlyriders.com/contactConnect with Onramp — https://onrampbitcoin.com/contact-us/Presented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media…Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering capital markets, dealmaking, early-stage venture, bitcoin applications and protocol development.This week Michael, Liam, and Brian cover the Trump crypto roundup: over $1B in disclosed crypto earnings, American Bitcoin's 500 BTC add, the launch of Trump Accounts, and the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve back on the table. They break down Open Standard, the 140-company OpenUSD stablecoin consortium taking on Tether, and Cloudflare's x402 integration for internet micropayments. They run through record Bitcoin ETF outflows, Sberbank and German banks turning on crypto trading, MiCA going live, and Robinhood Chain's mainnet launch. They close on Crusoe's $30B valuation talks and OpenAI's proposed 5% stake to the Trump administration.Chapters00:00 - Celebrating Freedom and Independence02:50 - Trump's Crypto Ventures and Controversies05:57 - The Trump Family's Financial Moves09:08 - The Launch of Trump Accounts12:03 - The Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Discussion14:50 - Open Standard and the Future of Stablecoins40:34 - The Future of Internet Monetization42:25 - AI's Impact on Information Value45:24 - Navigating the Avalanche of Information48:04 - Market Dynamics of Bitcoin ETFs50:20 - Global Trends in Crypto Regulation53:38 - Institutional Adoption of Digital Assets55:18 - The Rise of Traditional Finance in Crypto58:32 - The Regulatory Landscape for Crypto in Europe01:01:47 - Robinhood's New Financial Ecosystem01:06:01 - Emerging Trends in AI and Crypto Investments01:12:41 - The Intersection of Energy and AI01:16:04 - OpenAI's Strategic Moves in WashingtonIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly: https://www.earlyriders.com/researchKeep up with Michael:https://x.com/MTangumaKeep up with Liam:https://x.com/Lnelson_21Keep up with Brian:https://x.com/BackslashBTC

The Last Trade: Jackson, Michael, and Brian go signal versus noise with Bitcoin back near $58K and roughly 50% off its all-time high. They make the deep value case against the largest Bitcoin ETF outflows in over two years, arguing the selling is retail capitulation and an AI rotation trade rather than a true institutional exit. They explain why the 200-week moving average is historically the time to accumulate and why DCA beats chasing performance. They break down Saylor's stretch (STRC) rescue plan, X Money's 6% yield launch, gold's quiet underallocation, and Gavin Newsom's billionaire tax. They close on America 250 and Bitcoin as the real No Kings protest.---🔸 Connect with Onramp: The leader in resilient, fault-tolerant Multi-Institution Custody for secure, enduring bitcoin ownership.👉 Onramp Finance: https://onrampbitcoin.com/finance👉 Sign up for Genesis: https://onrampbitcoin.com/finance#gen..📩 Schedule a consultation: https://meetings.hubspot.com/onrampbitcoin/tltThe Last Trade: a weekly, bitcoin-native podcast covering the intersection of bitcoin, tech, & finance on a macro scale. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, & Brian Cubellis. Join us as we dive into what bitcoin means for how individuals & institutions save, invest, & propagate their purchasing power through time. It's not just another asset… in the digital age, it's The Last Trade that investors will ever need to make.🎙️ About This EpisodeThe guys open on the Bloomberg "crypto's institutional buyers retreat" headline and a record month of roughly $4 billion in Bitcoin ETF outflows, the largest since the funds went live over two years ago, and argue it is mostly retail capitulation plus an AI rotation into names like Nvidia and Broadcom rather than a true institutional exit. They make the deep value case: Bitcoin near $58K and about 50% off the 2025 peak of $126K, the 200-week moving average as a historic accumulation zone, and a viral River retrace chart that some read as bearish but they frame as a reason to DCA and leg in. The signal-versus-noise segment digs into Strategy's stretch (STRC) confidence crisis, covering Saylor's five-point plan, a dividend bumped from 11.5% to 12%, a Bitcoin monetization program willing to sell up to $1.25 billion of BTC, and Parker Lewis's note on a $1.15 billion equity raise subordinated behind $22 billion in liabilities. They unpack X Money's launch (6% yield, up to $10 million in FDIC coverage, 3% cash back, a Visa metal card), the censorship and yield-source questions it raises, and Ford rehiring 300 engineers after AI failed its quality checks. They close on gold's underallocation from the In Gold We Trust report (over 80% call gold sensible, yet allocations sit near 1%), Gavin Newsom's national billionaire's tax and the Mamdani socialist wave, and an America 250 round-the-horn that ties Thomas Jefferson's warning on banking establishments to Bitcoin as the ultimate No Kings protest.🧠 Chapters00:00 - Market Sentiment and ETF Flows02:55 - Retail vs Institutional Investors05:54 - DCA Strategies and Long-Term Conviction08:46 - The Impact of AI on Investment Dynamics12:08 - Financial Advisors and Emotional Investing15:07 - Stretch and Market Confidence17:50 - X Money and the Future of Financial Products32:39 - Exploring X Money and Financial Integration36:00 - The Role of AI in Financial Services40:01 - Gold's Place in Modern Investment Strategies45:01 - Gavin Newsom and the Call for an Economic Reset52:03 - Independence Day Reflections and Bitcoin's Role💡 Subscribe & Stay AheadGet Onramp's weekly Research & Analysis:High-signal insights in bitcoin, macro, and custody.📩 https://onrampbitcoin.com/researchSubscribe to Onramp Media for more:🎧 The Last Trade | Final Settlement | Scarce Assets