Podcast
The DeFi Report
Hosted by Michael Nadeau · EN
Our weekly show is hosted by Michael Nadeau (The DeFi Report) and Ryan Sean Adams (Bankless). Each week, we discuss how we approach managing our own portfolio and the data, research, and analytical frameworks that inform those decisions — for educational and informational purposes.
26episodes
Episodes
Newest firstAll episodes
Why does BTC continue to track the 4-Year Cycle?
Yesterday00:46:57Summary readyBitcoin’s 4-year cycle may look arbitrary, but the data tells a deeper story. Ryan and Mike break down how leverage, credit, stablecoins, DeFi loans, miners, and Strategy drive crypto’s recurring booms and busts, and whether one final domino still needs to fall.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rsshttps://thedefireport.io/friendshttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro5:21 Bitcoin’s Capital Base15:00 Leverage Drives the Premium20:07 Stablecoins and VC Flow23:08 On-Chain Loan Cycles26:08 Perps and Treasury Leverage32:14 Deleveraging and Hidden Risks34:29 Miner Capitulation37:12 Why Four Years?40:08 ETH and Solana Positioning----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Bitcoin’s Bottom Case, ETF Outflows & The No-Buyers Problem
1w ago00:44:42Summary readyBitcoin may be in the buy zone, but the demand signal still looks weak. David and Mike debate whether the bottom is already in, why ETF outflows and muted buyer interest matter, what realized losses and realized cap are signaling, and whether BTC needs one more painful reset before the next real opportunity.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-ythttps://thedefireport.io/friendshttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro2:01 Pain, Patience, & Cycles5:03 Shallower Drawdowns?7:22 ETF Flows and Demand9:34 Saylor’s Canary15:32 Realized Losses Review23:00 Bitcoin Versus Nasdaq25:23 AI Bubble Meets Crypto28:37 Oil, War, & Inflation33:25 Hyperliquid’s Market Split38:28 $LIT & $WLD Momentum40:42 Pro Portfolio Playbook----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Has BTC Entered the "Buy Zone?"
2w ago00:52:42Summary readyHas Bitcoin entered the buy zone, or is one final flush still ahead? Mike and Ryan break down why BTC under $67K looks attractive for long-term buyers, what realized losses and top-buyer cohorts reveal about seller exhaustion, and how AI weakness, inflation, and rising odds of Fed hikes could shape the next major move.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-ythttps://thedefireport.io/friendshttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro1:39 False Bull Flag Revisited5:32 Tracking Deep Value Signals11:04 Strategy Fear & Unwind18:09 Who Is Buying Bitcoin?22:15 Signs of Seller Exhaustion25:08 Bitcoin Leads the Nasdaq26:33 AI Boom Or Bust35:58 Macro Risks & Inflation43:20 TDR Portfolio Strategy48:50 Buying Bitcoin Under 67K----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Bitcoin’s $60K Test Just Got More Serious
3w ago00:36:56Summary readyBitcoin is testing a critical zone, but this bear market is starting to look different. Mike and David break down why $60K may be the next major level, how Strategy’s first BTC sale and STRC stress could shake market confidence, why ETF outflows are piling up, and why assets like Zcash, HYPE, Lighter, and NEAR are breaking out while Bitcoin weakens.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss https://thedefireport.io/friendshttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro1:22 Crypto Cycle Turning4:42 Bitcoin Near Key Support9:16 STRC Signals Stress20:42 ETF Outflows Mount23:58 Robinhood & Portfolio Bets28:49 DeFi Builders Gain Ground31:54 Bullish on Crypto Alpha35:24 Meme Coins Still Stick35:46 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Bitcoin’s Unfinished Pain & Altcoin Hype or Head Fake?
4w ago00:43:29Summary readyBitcoin is stuck in a quiet range, but the signals are getting louder. Mike and Ryan break down why the mini altcoin rally may be a head fake, what realized losses suggest about Bitcoin’s unfinished pain, why ETF outflows and Saylor’s bond move matter, and the macro risks that could force another leg lower.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro3:46 Altcoin Hype or Head Fake?13:06 Measuring Bitcoin Bear Market Pain22:50 ETF Outflows & Whale Selling29:25 Iran, Inflation, & Macro Risks37:35 Bitcoin Levels and Summer Positioning42:55 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Signs of a Cycle Bottom?
May 2000:37:49Summary readyBitcoin may have already hit its cycle low, but the confirmation signal still hasn’t fired. Mike and Ryan break down the bull case for a $60K bottom, why realized cap and supply in profit matter, what top-buyer cohorts are still signaling, and how inflation, rising yields, and a potential Fed hike could force one more drop.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rsshttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauItThe Watch List: Zcash (ZEC)https://thedefireport.io/research/the-watch-list-zcash-zec----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro4:16 Realized Cap Signals12:17 Supply Profit Check14:11 RSI & Cycle Lows18:01 Coins Still Need Rotation20:51 Inflation & Yields31:00 Key Levels & Scenarios34:17 Altcoin Rotation Watch36:52 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Momentum is slowing as macro risks are rising
May 1300:33:51Summary readyBitcoin just closed above a key bear market resistance level, but Mike still isn’t ready to call a regime shift. Ryan and Mike break down why this rally looks stretched, what $79K, $82.7K, and $85K are signaling, how weak spot volume and rising macro risk could slow momentum, and why June may be the real test for bulls.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro1:45 Bear Market Symmetry6:00 Comparing Past Cycles14:05 Who’s Selling at 80K?19:23 Weak Market Conditions23:10 Momentum Starts Fading27:37 June’s Historical Weakness29:12 Key Bitcoin Price Levels32:40 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Are we still in a bear market rally?
May 600:35:12Summary readyBitcoin just completed the longest bear market rally of the last two cycles, but under the hood, the data still looks eerily similar to 2022. Mike and Ryan break down the battle between shorts and spot buyers, why $85K may decide the market, what ETF flows and Saylor’s bid are really signaling, and the setup that could trap both bulls and bears.----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/rss https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro3:03 Market Dynamics and Institutional Influence5:53 Trader Sentiment & Market Positioning10:04 Spot Market Analysis15:10 ETF Flows & Institutional Demand19:06 Market Structure & Cycle Analysis21:09 Bitcoin's Correlation & NASDAQ26:05 Critical Price Zones for Bitcoin30:12 Mike's Investment Strategy & Market Outlook33:17 The Marshmallow Test 34:17 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Still Patient? Why This Bitcoin Rally May Be on Borrowed Time
Apr 2900:40:44Summary readyBitcoin has the “perfect” bull setup, record shorts, aggressive squeezes, and billions in buying, yet it still can’t break $80K. Ryan and Mike unpack why that disconnect matters, from weak spot demand and short-term holder behavior to fading liquidity tailwinds, and what past cycles suggest comes next. They also break down the key level that decides the market, and how to position if this rally is on borrowed time.----📣GALAXYONE | SOLANA STAKINGhttps://bankless.cc/GalaxyOne ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.io/friends https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro3:57 Bitcoin Market Dynamics6:51 Short-Term Holder Insights15:22 Fed Policy Implications19:31 Liquidity and Economic Outlook27:44 Crypto Portfolio Strategy30:09 Navigating Altcoin Markets38:47 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
Summary
Why This Rally May Be Too Early
Apr 2200:32:33Tap to summarizeBitcoin is pushing back toward $80K, but the underlying data still looks like a classic bear market setup. Mike and Ryan break down why “hot money” from the 2025 top hasn’t fully rotated yet, how past cycles suggest more downside or time is needed, and why dip buyers may be stepping in too early. They also explain what real bottom formation looks like onchain and why this rally could be more about positioning than a true shift in trend. ----📣GALAXYONE | SOLANA STAKINGhttps://bankless.cc/GalaxyOne ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.io/friends https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro1:44 Mike's Evolving Thinking on Altcoins5:12 Analyzing Bitcoin's Cost Basis Data8:11 Understanding Bitcoin's Cohorts10:08 Exploring New & Old Money Patterns14:20 Comparing Cohorts Across Cycles18:09 Key Takeaways from the Cohort Analysis26:33 Portfolio Moves & Strategy Discussion32:07 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
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