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Five weeks ago, Elliot Chodoff predicted that the new US-Iran memorandum of understanding would collapse. It did — almost exactly the way he said it would. Now the conflict has flared back up, government sources are warning that Iran may finally strike Tel Aviv directly, and the question everyone is asking is why it hasn’t happened already. Is this a new war, or the same one that’s technically been running since 1979? Why is America’s campaign of “coercive diplomacy” almost certain to fail — and has it already? How close is Iran really to a nuclear weapon, and is Washington underestimating it? And what’s actually behind the reported daylight between Netanyahu and Trump — is it a rift, or something else entirely? Chodoff — an IDF officer in the reserves, political-military sociologist, and twenty-five-year professor at the University of Haifa — answers all of it. But you’ll have to watch to hear how.

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