Alex Wissner-Gross on EP253 (the Demis Hassabis episode): AGI quietly arrived in summer 2020 and we missed it. Humanoid robots will outnumber humans by the end of the 2030s. By 2040 we get trillions of Drexlerian nanorobots in the solar system. Russian cosmism resurrection, longevity escape velocity by the early 2030s, the digital twin you don't actually want, and why we are merging with the machines.

The ASI Pill takes the exponential and hyperbolic curves seriously and follows them to their brainfuck conclusions. AGI is here. ASI before 2030. This pod extracts and amplifies Alex's signal from the moonshot pod with Peter, Salim, and Dave.

#AI #ASI #ASIPill #AGI #Singularity #Humanoids #Robots #Longevity #AlexWissnerGross #DemisHassabis #Hyperstition #Transhumanism

0:00 AGI was already achieved in 2020

0:18 Moonshot corporate governance

1:15 OpenAI vs Anthropic schism

3:55 An obligation to encode benchmarks

4:28 Be rigorous about regressions

5:06 Humanoids pass humans by 2030s

5:49 Drexlerian nanorobots by 2040

6:36 China's ironic AI policy circle

7:26 The prize is superintelligence and new physics

9:34 Demis: from 5 breakthroughs to zero

10:16 Five years of incremental on a 2020 discovery

11:23 Russian cosmism: bring everyone back

12:32 GLP-1 vs AI for the trillion

13:24 Longevity escape velocity by 2030s

14:22 AI for enterprise, not consumers

15:24 The exocortex consumer dream is wrong

16:51 Vinge's smart glasses by 2028

17:34 Cell-sized nanomachines by 2040s